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football picks for thanksgiving, football picks for thanksgiving

п»їThanksgiving football in the NFL: Game picks, playoff picture, schedule guide and more.
Pat McAfee and Rex Ryan agree that it's time for Jerry Jones to fire Jason Garrett after the Cowboys' loss to the Patriots. (1:26)
The Week 13 NFL slate kicks off with some great Thanksgiving Day football. Our NFL Nation reporters bring us the keys to every Thursday game, a bold prediction for each matchup and final score predictions.
Additionally, ESPN Stats & Information provides a stat to know for each game and the current playoff picture, and the Football Power Index (FPI) goes inside the numbers with a matchup rating (on a scale of 1 to 100) and a game projection. ESPN Fantasy's Kyle Soppe and ESPN Chalk's David Bearman hand out helpful nuggets, as well. It's all here to help get you ready for a loaded day of NFL football.
Let's get into the full Thanksgiving Day schedule, including a showdown between two NFC South teams on Thursday night in which one team can already clinch a playoff spot.
Jump to a matchup: CHI-DET | BUF-DAL | NO-ATL.
Playoff picture entering Thursday's games.
NFL Playoff Machine.
Simulate your own scenarios and check the latest playoff picture. Playoff Machine В» " Full schedule В» | Standings В» | More В»
The Saints will clinch the NFC South and a playoff spot with a win on Thanksgiving. Even if the Panthers were to win out, the Saints would hold the tiebreaker in the division. Per ESPN Stats & Information research, it would tie the earliest clinch of the NFC South in the division's history, which dates back to 2002 (2009 Saints, 2012 Falcons and 2015 Panthers).
Bears (5-6) at Lions (3-7-1)
12:30 p.m. ET | Fox Matchup rating: 29.5 | Spread: CHI -5.5 (37)
What to watch for: The Lions have lost seven of their past eight games, coach Matt Patricia is on the hot seat, and a local radio station and a local columnist have each called for Detroit fans to not show up Thursday to send a message to the Ford family about the direction of the franchise. Two weeks ago, Dallas fans invaded Detroit -- and if it happens again in front of a national audience, it could make waves. -- Michael Rothstein.
Editor's Picks.
Week 13 NFL Power Rankings: 1-32 poll, plus what each team is thankful for.
Who was that. Check out the NFL's Quarter 3 unheralded ballers.
Bold prediction: Bears rookie running back David Montgomery will rush for more than 100 yards. He has cracked 100 rushing yards in just one game this year, but he's fresh after carrying the ball only 13 times for 22 yards against the Giants. Why is that important? Because the Bears have an extremely tight turnaround with Thursday's game on the road. -- Jeff Dickerson.
Stat to know: The Bears' offense is 31st in the NFL in yards per play, 29th in yards per rush and 30th in passing yards per game. But then there is the Lions' defense, which ranks 26th in yards per play, 20th in yard per rush and 30th in passing yards per game.
What to know for fantasy: The Lions' Bo Scarbrough has 76.2% of the Detroit running back carries over the past two weeks (4.8 yards per carry). See Week 13 rankings.
Betting nugget: In its past 11 Thanksgiving Day games, Detroit is 1-10 against the spread (ATS) as an underdog (going back to 2004). Read more.
Dickerson's pick: Bears 16, Lions 13 Rothstein's pick: Bears 21, Lions 17 FPI prediction: CHI, 54.1% (by an average of 1.4 points)
Bills (8-3) at Cowboys (6-5)
4:30 p.m. ET | CBS Matchup rating: 58.0 | Spread: DAL -6.5 (47)
What to watch for: Dallas receiver Amari Cooper has just 17 receptions for 213 yards in six road games, but he has 39 receptions for 673 yards and five touchdowns in five home games, including more than 100 yards receiving in his past three home contests. Yet Buffalo is allowing just 184.3 passing yards per game and has allowed just one 100-yard receiver in a game this season. -- Todd Archer.
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Bold prediction: Buffalo's Tre'Davious White holds Cooper to fewer than 40 yards as he continues his campaign as one of the NFL's elite cornerbacks. In all, the Bills hold the Cowboys under 300 yards but can't muster up enough offense of their own to get the win. -- Marcel Louis-Jacques.
Stat to know: The Cowboys have lost four straight Thanksgiving games against teams that entered with a win percentage as good as the Bills' current mark of .727. In fact, the last time they won a Turkey Day game against such a team was in 1999, when they won 20-0 against the 8-2 Dolphins.
What to know for fantasy: After producing just 274 receiving yards in his first seven games this season, Dallas' Randall Cobb has 307 in his past three games. See Week 13 rankings.
Betting nugget: Dallas is 1-3 ATS against teams with a winning record this year. And Buffalo is 4-0-1 ATS on the road this season. Read more.
Louis-Jacques' pick: Cowboys 17, Bills 10 Archer's pick: Cowboys 31, Bills 20 FPI prediction: DAL, 78.5% (by an average of 10.5 points)
Saints (9-2) at Falcons (3-8)
8:20 p.m. ET | NBC Matchup rating: 70.6 | Spread: NO -7 (48)
What to watch for: The Falcons' offensive line looked disastrous in last week's loss to the Bucs, and coach Dan Quinn didn't rule out making some changes up front. The Saints seem likely to make some defensive adjustments, as well, after sacking Matt Ryan just once back in Week 10 and allowing the Falcons to rush for a season-high 143 yards that day. -- Vaughn McClure.
Bold prediction: New Orleans makes up for its dreadful 26-9 loss to Atlanta three weeks ago and holds the Falcons without a touchdown. The Saints' defense has been very good this year, but it should be extra motivated after a leaky 34-31 win over Carolina in Week 12. Getting cornerback Marshon Lattimore back fr om a hamstring injury would be a big boost. -- Mike Triplett.
Stat to know: Saints receiver Michael Thomas' 104 receptions are the most by a player through 11 games in NFL history. And he is on pace for 151 catches this season, which would be an NFL record (Marvin Harrison had 143 in 2002).
What to know for fantasy: New Orleans quarterback Drew Brees threw 45 passes without a single touchdown toss in these teams' first meeting this season, something he has only done five times in his Hall of Fame career. But it is worth noting that the last time he played in Atlanta, he produced the most fantasy points he ever has in a road game (40.5). See Week 13 rankings.
Betting nugget: The Saints are 11-3 ATS on the road since the start of last season. Read more.
Triplett's pick: Saints 20, Falcons 9 McClure's pick: Saints 24, Falcons 21 FPI prediction: NO, 55.7% (by an average of 2.0 points)

Best 2020 Thanksgiving Day football picks, predictions: NFL, college best bets, and 5-team parlay.
SportsLine's top NFL experts and college football model combine to pick a 5-team parlay that pays 20-1.
Although football fans no longer have the primetime Thanksgiving Day NFL matchup between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Baltimore Ravens due to a COVID-19 outbreak, there will still be a tripleheader to digest. The Detroit Lions kick off the festivities in their traditional 12:30 p.m. ET slot by hosting the Houston Texans, followed by an NFC East grudge match between the Dallas Cowboys and Washington Football Team at 4:30 p.m. ET. College football delivers in primetime on Thursday night, as Utah State hosts New Mexico at 7 p.m. ET.
All three 2020 Thanksgiving Day football games feature narrow spreads according to the latest odds from William Hill Sportsbook. The Lions are three-point underdogs to the Texans, while the Cowboys are three-point home favorites in the current NFL odds. New Mexico is a 6.5-point road favorite at Utah State in the latest college football odds. Before making your Thanksgiving Day football picks and parlays, be sure to see the latest Thanksgiving Day football parlay from the experts and proven computer model at SportsLine.
To pull this off, SportsLine is utilizing its top experts to make NFL picks and its proven computer model to make college football picks. It's an all-star cast of football experts that includes some of the top handicapping experts in the nation and a model with a track record of providing results.
SuperContest guru R.J. White (39-22 on Lions picks) has made the call on Texans vs. Lions, while veteran handicapper Mike Tierney (17-7 on Washington picks) is locked in on Washington vs. Cowboys. Meanwhile, the red-hot SportsLine Projection Model is 44-23 on its top-rated college football picks and is delivering a must-see predictions for New Mexico vs. Utah State, Lions vs. Texans, and Cowboys vs. Washington.
Now, the experts and the model have examined the latest NFL odds and college football betting lines, and their predictions are in. Head to SportsLine now to see them all.
Top Thanksgiving Day 2020 football predictions.
One part of the 2020 Thanksgiving Day football parlay we'll give away: The model is backing the over (46) to hit when Dallas takes on Washington. The over is 7-2 in Washington's last nine Thursday games and 4-1 in the Cowboys' last five games as a home favorite.
The Cowboys finally got their offensive groove back last week, as Andy Dalton returned from a concussion to throw for 203 yards and three touchdowns in a 31-28 victory over the Vikings. That victory snapped a four-game losing streak and marked the first time Dallas had put up at least 30 points since nipping the Giants in Week 5.
Washington's offense is slightly more constant, scoring under 14 points just once this season despite plenty of quarterback issues. The over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between Dallas and Washington and has hit in five straight meetups at AT&T Stadium. Back the over as part of your 2020 Thanksgiving Day NFL picks.

FanDuel NFL DFS Lineup Picks for Thanksgiving Day Slate - Daily Fantasy Football.
It's late November and that can mean only one thing. the NFL Thanksgiving Day slate is here! More DFS, more NFL bets, and more fantasy football to go with that extra helping of potatoes and stuffing!
It's been a few years now, but ever since the NFL added a third primetime game to Thanksgiving this has become one of my favorite slates of the year. Not only do we get Detroit and Dallas (as usual) but we also get a rematch of my 10-0 Pittsburgh Steelers against their division rival Baltimore Ravens in the nightcap!
In this article, I will be providing you with my Week 12 Thanksgiving Day Slate daily fantasy football lineup picks on FanDuel. These lineups can vary from higher-priced players and elite options to lower-priced players and value picks on DraftKings. Be sure to also check out our weekly FanDuel DFS lineup picks and lots of other great NFL DFS articles and NFL DFS tools to help you win big! Feel free to give me a follow on Twitter @ThunderDanDFS.
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NFL Thanksgiving Day Slate.
12:30 PM EST: Houston (-2) @ Detroit (51.5 O/U)
FanDuel Quarterbacks - Week 12 Picks.
Deshaun Watson vs. DET ($8,700)
Watson is the priciest player at the position, but with pricing being pretty loose this week you can fit him pretty easily with the guys you want and that's exactly what I would do in cash games. After a bad game in Cleveland with high winds in week 10, Watson bounced back nicely against New England last week by throwing for over 340 yards with two scores and added a rushing TD to top it off.
The Lions' pass defense was dissected by former XFL player P.J. Walker on Sunday and Watson should have plenty of chances to do some damage in this one. I expect this early game to be popular with the highest total on the slate, but for good reason as neither defense is very good. I'll happily pay this price for Watson in a dome game that could end up a shootout.
I like Big Ben here to be a bit contrarian. Yes, I am a Steelers fan but I am not letting my fandom influence this pick. Since the Steelers win against Baltimore on November 1, Ben has attempted an average of 45 passes per game as Pittsburgh has somewhat abandoned their traditional running game for spread formations and short passes.
Ben had a rough first half against Baltimore in that first matchup but threw for two touchdowns in the second half while rallying them to a win and is playing exceptionally well right now. Meanwhile, the Baltimore defense has looked very average of late in their last two losses to New England and Tennessee.
UPDATE: The Steelers-Ravens game has been moved to Sunday.
FanDuel Running Backs - Week 12 Picks.
D'Andre Swift vs. HOU ($7,200)
Swift was all set to be chalky play last week before he was ruled out due to not being able to get cleared from a concussion. Hopefully, he's in this week because we saw Detroit's offense lay an egg and get shut out against a mediocre Carolina team without him on Sunday. Adrian Peterson and Kerryon Johnson did nothing while Swift was out so he should be the guy this week assuming he goes and the matchup here is a good one against the lowly Texans' run defense.
Gibson is coming on strong for Washington and had another fine performance last week against the Bengals as he rushed for 94 yards and a touchdown. He now has five touchdowns in his last four games. His best game of the season came against Dallas the first time they met as he rushed for 128 yards on 20 carries and a score. The Cowboys are playing better, but were still gashed by Dalvin Cook last week and are vulnerable against the run and the pass. Lock and load Gibson on FanDuel over J.D. McKissic, who predictably came back to Earth last week.
Gus Edwards @ PIT ($5,200)
UPDATE: The Steelers-Ravens game has been moved to Sunday.
FanDuel Wide Receivers.
Terry McLaurin vs. DAL ($7,900)
Scary Terry is the most expensive receiver on this slate, but I'll happily roster him on a bunch of my teams anyway. Even with three different quarterbacks this year he's managing to put up impressive numbers and is one of the most talented young receivers in the league.
Dallas's defense continues to give up big games to wideouts (three touchdowns to Thielen/Jefferson on Sunday) and McLaurin fared well in this matchup when they met earlier this month posting a 7-90 line with a touchdown.
Will Fuller V @ DET ($7,400)
I am going to make it a point to stack Will Fuller with Watson this week as I think he has one of the best ceilings on the slate. Detroit's cornerbacks have been very vulnerable and Fuller is likely to line up on the left side a lot on Thursday which happens to be the same spot that D.J. Moore just smashed in last week. Fuller hasn't found the end zone the last two weeks, but was targeted eight times in both of those games and is still Watson's favorite target.
Brandin Cooks is a fine play, too, but keep an eye out on Keke Coutee as it looks like both Randall Cobb and Kenny Stills will be out this week and Coutee is dirt cheap as Watson's slot receiver (scored a TD last week).
There's not too much analysis needed here. Yes, the Ravens are a quality opponent but both of these young receivers are badly underpriced for the volume of targets they are getting in Pittsburgh's pass-first offense. Johnson caught 12 of 16 targets for 111 yards last week while Claypool caught 4 of 8 for 59 yards and a score. Claypool's size is a big problem for defenses and he's going to continue to see targets in the red zone from Big Ben and usually gets 1-2 carries in the running game on jet sweeps.
UPDATE: The Steelers-Ravens game has been moved to Sunday.

NFL Thanksgiving Day Picks, Predictions: Opening betting lines, odds, and scores.
Thanksgiving is upon us, and we break down our NFL picks and predictions using the opening betting lines and odds for the big day.
November 26, 2020.
We start the week by breaking down the opening betting lines and odds for Thanksgiving day, as we try to find value on the three-game slate with our NFL picks and predictions. This year, we get an interesting slate with the potential battle for the NFC East title between Dallas and Washington, the Pittsburgh Steelers defending their undefeated season against the rival Baltimore Ravens, and the Detroit Lions trying to stay in the NFC North discussions against the Houston Texans.
NFL Thanksgiving Day Picks, Predictions: Opening betting lines, odds, and scores.
Houston Texans at Detroit Lions.
The first game on the Thanksgiving slate is a matchup between the Houston Texans and the Detroit Lions. The opening betting line in this one has hovered around -2.5 to -3 in the Texans’ favor. This is likely because they are coming off of a 27-20 win over the New England Patriots; that and the fact that their offense has looked significantly better than the Lions. At least the passing game has.
Wh ere the Texans have really struggled is on the ground. They currently rank 31st in rushing offense, and that doesn’t look like it will improve with their starting back David Johnson on IR. Duke Johnson hasn’t been able to do very much in his place. However, he will be facing off against the 30th ranked rushing defense in the league. This could be the game the Texans finally start to establish the run.
On the other side of the ball, the Lions have been hit by the injury bug. They will be without their WR1 in Kenny Golladay and Danny Amendola. Their secondary will also be missing key players. QB Matthew Stafford is still playing through an injury to his thumb, which clearly impacted his play last week in their 20-0 shutout loss to the Carolina Panthers.
These teams are both heading in different directions, and it is hard not to like the Texans in this matchup. Even with them being down both Kenny Stills and Randall Cobb, I trust Watson to be able to move the ball on a bad Lions’ secondary.
NFL Thanksgiving Day Picks and Prediction: Texans 34, Lions 27.
How To Watch Lions – Texans Thanksgiving Day.
Date: Thursday, Nov. 26 Time: 12:30 p.m. ET Location: Ford Field (Detroit, Michigan) TV: CBS.
Washington Football Team at Dallas Cowboys.
This next game is a surprisingly important matchup that could help determine who is going to win the NFC East. Both these teams have losing records, but with the East being what it is, they are both still in contention.
Dallas is coming off an impressive win over the Minnesota Vikings, while Washington easily took care of the Cincinnati Bengals last week. This game will look to put strengths against weaknesses as the Cowboys’ high-flying offense will face one of its biggest tests against the Washington defense and dominant front seven.
Washington is a solid 10th in scoring defense, limiting opposing teams to 22.7 points per contest. Chase Young has been everything we expected and can wreak havoc on bad offensive lines. Luckily for Washington, the Cowboys have one of the most injured and underperforming offensive lines in the league. This might explain why these Thanksgiving day lines and odds are so close.
The Cowboys lost the first game between these two teams in a blowout. Washington dominated Dallas 25-3 in Week 7, but the Cowboys look like a much-improved team after their Week 10 bye and with the return of a healthy Andy Dalton.
The only way the Cowboys can get a win here is if the offensive line contains Young, and the team is able to establish the run with Ezekiel Elliott. That won’t be an easy task, but it is attainable. Against Minnesota, Elliott looked like the explosive back he was in 2019, and Tony Pollard continues to prove he could possibly be a starting back on any other NFL team.
It will be close, but I have faith the Cowboys will continue to dominate the Thanksgiving holiday and get the win. Against the spread, I like Washington, but moneyline, I like Dallas.
NFL Thanksgiving Day Picks and Prediction: Cowboys 21, Washington 20.
NFL Picks Thanksgiving Day | How To Watch Cowboys – Washington Thanksgiving Day.
Date: Thursday, Nov. 26 Time: 4:30 p.m. ET Location: AT&T Stadium (Dallas, Texas) TV: FOX.
Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers.
Update November 25th: This game has been postponed to Sunday afternoon due to medical concerns.
The first meeting this season between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Baltimore Ravens was an instant classic. Ben Roethlisberger led the Steelers on a second-half comeback that saved their perfect season.
Unfortunately for Baltimore, they are coming into this game struggling. The Ravens have lost two in a row and three of their last four, hurting offensively with 24 or fewer points scored in each of those four games. The Steelers defense is not the unit you want to be coming up against when your offense is struggling.
Pittsburgh has recorded at least one quarterback sack in 67 consecutive games. After forcing four interceptions this past week, Pittsburgh has now had four consecutive games in which the defense has forced at least two turnovers. Over that stretch, they’ve recorded seven interceptions and recovered five fumbles.
These Thanksgiving day lines and odds are just not long enough. Pittsburgh should win this one easily, especially with all of the pieces missing for the Ravens.
NFL Thanksgiving Day Picks and Prediction: Steelers 27, Ravens 17.

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